tiptopper:
Guy: Even under the best of situations, it's difficult to imagine Germany ever matching something on the scale of the Manhattan Project. These were huge energy-hungry industrial installations. In particular, the uranium bomb took huge amounts of electrical energy to produce. The plutonium bomb took less energy to produce, but the physics and engineering was much more involved.
Since the Russians developed an atomic bomb in the late forties I certainly think that the Germans could have developed it earlier. Especially since if they had not gone to war with the US or Russia, as I hypothetically proposed, they would have had many more resources available.
Yes, that's true, if Germany hadn't invaded the U.S.S.R. and had avoided going to war with the United States, the German situation RE resources would've been significantly different.
A 1941 British commando raid on its site in Norway that seriously damaged the German heavy-water production facility resulted in Hitler being told that it would take at least two years for Germany's atomic research program to recover from the setback. Since Hitler didn't anticipate the war lasting for another two years at that point, according to HITLER'S WAR (David Irving), the German effort in that area was curtailed.
By 1943, Germany was in "an armaments crisis," according to Albert Speer (who became the German minister for armament and war production early that year) in his memoir, INSIDE THE THIRD REICH, and what resources were available for weapons development were focused on jet airplanes and long-range rockets.
However, had Germany somehow been fighting only Britain, or even moreso had the Germans either defeated the British or worked out a negotiated peace with them, their resources available for atomic research would undoubtedly have been much greater... --C.K.